Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.253502 1.454179 1.669008 1.915238 2.188778 2.482462 2.820722
2025-02-23 0.916701 1.196536 1.522840 1.927180 2.410293 2.964512 3.643617
2025-03-02 0.672919 0.983437 1.375594 1.896581 2.559156 3.362008 4.395667
2025-03-09 0.524643 0.850951 1.293687 1.918341 2.755199 3.815117 5.233965
2025-03-16 0.407660 0.732187 1.203710 1.906889 2.893777 4.192793 5.990363
2025-03-23 0.345447 0.678257 1.190927 1.991327 3.157520 4.739847 6.986407
2025-03-30 0.292738 0.626843 1.170994 2.057402 3.393458 5.255844 7.960178
2025-04-06 0.233098 0.549584 1.097183 2.030105 3.486370 5.572649 8.671032
2025-04-13 0.195600 0.503525 1.065841 2.061851 3.663547 6.011290 9.563346
2025-04-20 0.162148 0.457068 1.025805 2.072557 3.804951 6.400220 10.396054
2025-04-27 0.134988 0.416762 0.989969 2.084336 3.945084 6.789457 11.239563
2025-05-04 0.110642 0.376054 0.946559 2.076699 4.050232 7.126987 12.015745
2025-05-11 0.086705 0.329936 0.886795 2.036221 4.102903 7.394081 12.710755
2025-05-18 0.071851 0.302913 0.862191 2.058184 4.262285 7.835041 13.685953
2025-05-25 0.056342 0.268099 0.814461 2.030018 4.331749 8.135238 14.456237
2025-06-01 0.046714 0.247554 0.795136 2.054717 4.493977 8.588702 15.475355
2025-06-08 0.037085 0.222528 0.760343 2.043395 4.588872 8.934112 16.334704
2025-06-15 0.033158 0.217044 0.773243 2.132803 4.873267 9.602704 17.723555
2025-06-22 0.028982 0.208662 0.777129 2.202630 5.123852 10.222324 19.050340
2025-06-29 0.022424 0.186019 0.738255 2.173911 5.184373 10.520868 19.867545
2025-07-06 0.018689 0.174331 0.727683 2.207415 5.365830 11.031470 21.041373
2025-07-13 0.015080 0.160670 0.708543 2.218714 5.503307 11.469318 22.106261
2025-07-20 0.012131 0.148331 0.690810 2.231137 5.642760 11.914076 23.192688